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Archive for 十月, 2009

《阳春白雪》与《下里巴人》

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文/潞

  使用古书里的成语来形容所要表现的事物,不但可以减省笔墨,而且可以增益文采,所以人们喜欢采用。时常在文章中看到作者自称为”下里巴人”以示自谦,这其实是一种误用。”下里巴人”中虽有一个”人”字,但并非是指人,而是指歌曲。《文选·宋玉〈对楚王问〉》中记载: “客有歌于郢中者,其始曰《下里》、《巴人》,国中属而和者数千人。其为阳阿薤露,国中属而和者数百人。其为《阳春》、《白雪》,国中属而和者,不过数十人。引商刻羽,杂以流徵,国中属而和者,不过数人而已。是其曲弥高,其和弥寡”李周翰注曰:”《下里》、《巴人》,下曲名也。《阳春》、《白雪》高曲名也。”由此可知,”阳春白雪”与”下里巴人”都是古代楚国的歌曲名。

  从各种文献中不难发现,下里巴人一类的巴人歌谣,很早就已影响到了中原地区。巴人的歌舞多是群体的,唱歌时大家情不自禁的手舞足蹈。

  巴渝民歌因曲调流畅、曲风明快活泼和富有浓郁的地方风情,从而被人们广为喜爱。大家所熟悉的《竹枝词》就是在《下里》《巴人》这样的歌曲上衍变而来的。 “竹枝词”,又名”竹枝”、”竹枝子”、”竹枝曲”、”竹枝歌”。在唐《乐府》中以地名命名而将”竹枝”称为”巴渝歌”。杜甫在夔州有诗说:”万里巴渝曲,三年实饱闻”。

  从唐人拟作的《竹枝词》中,可以看出民间在《竹枝歌》的基调是愁苦悲凉的,后来经过文人的采录与润色后流传下来。我们熟悉的刘禹锡的《竹枝词》就属于这一类。与民间的《竹枝词》一样,《薅草锣鼓》是巴渝、巴楚一带薅草时节以锣鼓伴奏的传统民歌演唱形式。《薅草锣鼓》的起源很早,起源于农事,人们祭拜农神田畯,驱邪避害,与巴楚先民信巫尚鬼的民俗有密切关系。

  ”下里巴人”、”竹枝词”、”薅草锣鼓”是巴渝古代民歌中最具有代表性和影响力的样式,它们之间有着明显的传承关系。”竹枝词”和”薅草锣鼓”是不同时代的”下里巴人”,是对 “下里巴人”丰富和发展。一方面是艺术形式、艺术风格的传承、一方面又是形式和内容随着历史和社会生活的变迁而变易。

  像所有活跃在民间的大众艺术一样,无论是”下里巴人”还是”竹枝词”他们最大的长处便是”通俗性”。它们虽然语言通俗但反映的内涵却十分深刻。所以人说”山歌无本句句真。”

  ”阳春白雪”与”下里巴人”虽然一个高雅清丽、一个活泼灵动但都是表达真实感情的思之声,因而得以丰富和发扬至今。

参考论文:陈正平 《巴渝古代民歌简论》

—-Thu 6 Apr 2006—–

Written by corlin

十月 12th, 2009 at 8:55 上午

“中国应容忍通胀以避免衰退”

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中国政府研究人员表示,中国经济2008年有急剧衰退的危险,可能不得不容忍超标的通货膨胀以维持经济增长。

中国国务院发展研究中心的宏观经济研究负责人余斌表示,中国可能不得不将注意力由遏制通胀转到维持经济增长上面。他说,许多人看到通胀的危险,也注意到经济过热的风险,但是看到2008年经济严重衰退的人却不多。

北京一直在极力遏制高通货膨胀。中国在4月的通胀率达到8.5%,接近过去12年当中的最高水平。不过在5月通胀率下降到了7.7%,许多经济学家估计通胀率在2008年其余时间会进一步下降。

余斌说,现在几乎已经不可能将消费指数(CPI)控制在4.8%的官方指标内,但是他认为决策者应该担心经济急剧衰退的危险。中国经济增长必须要保持在10%左右才能满足今年的就业目标,即创造1,000万个就业机会。

他还补充说,中国出口以美元计算,在今年头4个月比去年同期增加了21.5%,数量上并不大。在宁波,青岛和大连等主要港口,货物转运量有所下降。

国内股市不稳也增加了公司募集资金的难度,房屋市场冷却可能限制钢铁等上游行业。原材料和劳动力价格上涨也可能使许多投资者对新项目更加谨慎投入。

原文地址


—-29 04 2008 —-

Written by corlin

十月 12th, 2009 at 8:52 上午

如何浏览 3GPP 官方网站

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As requested last week by a reader, here is a post that will try to help you navigate through the 3GPP web site and its specifications.

The bad news is that 3GPP is a very big and complex standardization body. It usually takes time to understand how it works and to find what you need on the web site.

On the other hand, the good news is that 3GPP is a very structured and formal group. Moreover, all its specifications (including intermediate versions), contributions, and meeting minutes are available to everybody who can find its way to them.

Overview of 3GPP Work Items

In 3GPP, every standardization topic is associated to one or several work items. Each work item is defined in a work item description document (WID), which describes the topic, the reason for it, the companies initially supporting the work item, the 3GPP groups taking part into it, the specifications it will create or impact, as well as a preliminary roadmap.

New topics are proposed to 3GPP as WID drafts, and a certain number of companies needs to agree on a draft and place their name into it as a supporting company in order for the work item to be considered for inclusion in the current 3GPP release.

The 3GPP workplan is a convenient way to have an overview of all the work items, their roadmap and actualized completion status.

Individual WIDs referenced in the workplan are stored here. You can also get information on each there. The WID is a good starting point for your search on a specific topic. More especially, you will know which 3GPP working groups will be involved and the specifications or technical reports they will write.

In 3GPP, technical reports (TRs) are used to investigate a topic or perform a feasibility study. Once the report is completed, it might form the baseline for a Technical Specification (TS), lead to a few sentences added to one, or simply disappear in the void of failed 3GPP standardization attempts. Beware that a TR is interesting only if it is currently being worked on. Past TRs are just there for history and it is more important to look for how they possibly translated into specifications.

3GPP Working Groups

The 3GPP organization is presented here. You can click on each group to have more information.

In the context of IMS, the following groups are the most important.

TSG SA WG1 (SA1 in short) is responsible for producing requirements (stage 1 specifications, TS 22.xxx). The group belongs to operators.

TSG SA WG2 (SA2) defines the architecture (stage 2 specifications, TS 23.xxx). This is the most strategic and political group, controlled by the big Network Equipment Providers and by a few operators.

Other groups define the details of the procedures and protocols: TSG CT WG1 (CT1) is the group specifying SIP aspects and TSG CT WG4 (CT4) is the Diameter/HSS group. These groups are usually less political, and CT1 might even look like an annex of the IETF in 3GPP.

Finally, some groups address specific aspects such as security (SA3) or OSS/BSS (SA5).

3GPP Specifications

You can see the specifications related to each work item in the WID page indicated above. You can also have access to all 3GPP (and ETSI GSM) specifications in this matrix. This page is usually my entry point to the 3GPP web site, and I usually make a search on keywords to find the specifications or reports that relate to the topic of interest. When you click on the specification number, you can access all the past and current versions of the document.

Work in Progress / Contributions

The versions of the specifications (or technical reports) you can access from the matrix may not reflect the latest status of an ongoing activity.

If you want to closely follow an item in progress of analyze the positions of different companies on a specific topic (who is pushing for what? Who is championning this idea? Who is trying to block this item? Is this company active in the discussion?) you need access to the contributions and minutes of the working groups that takes care of the specification or report you are interested in.

To do this, you need to access the meetings of the working groups on the 3GPP FTP server.

Let’s take the example of an SA2 meeting (architecture). You need to navigate though SA and then WG2. You then have access to all the past (and some future) meetings on this page.

As I am writing, the latest meeting for which contributions can be accessed is #57 in Beijing.

The agenda is interesting to see all the topics discussed, and more especially the agenda number associated to each of them. In Beijing, most of the meeting was dedicated to the System Architecture Evolution, but you can still find for instance “IMS Emergency” as agenda item 7.3.

The doclist permits to see in a table all the contributions submitted for the meeting, as well as the submitting companies. By screening via the agenda item number, you can find all the contributions submitted for the subject you are interested in.

These contributions are all stored in the Docs subdirectory. Some of the contributions are the ongoing versions of specifications and reports.

Others are Liaison Statements, which are the official way to communicate between 3GPP groups and between 3GPP and other standardization bodies (e.g. OMA, TISPAN, WiMax Forum). Liaison Statements are often interesting to look at.

The most important document to find your way in the meeting is the meeting report. Structured according to the agenda it documents the fate of all contributions (e.g. approved, noted, not addressed), as well as some (limited) feedback on the discussions related to these contributions.

It is not rare that an original contribution undergoes several modifications during the week, before being (hypothetically) approved. You therefore need to track the progress of the one you are interested in, and check which version was finally approved, if any.

More than the minutes themselves, the number and nature of modifications that a particular contribution underwent is the best indication of how disputed it was. And therefore how important it is to the different companies taking part in the discussion. Typically, if a contribution went through 5 successive versions, with the last one changing a single word to the previous, you can assume the discussion was quite tense.

There are some cases where the meeting did not have time to approve the latest version of a contribution. If it is assumed that this one is not contentious (or it is important to progress on this topic) it will be left for email approval.

You may then need to track the status of the contribution in the associated mailing list. Usually, the list of contributions left for email approval is sent out after the meeting, with a deadline. You can then follow email threads to see how it goes.

If you are not familiar with them, you might be surprised by the fact that most 3GPP contributions are short and focused. Often, a coherent idea pushed by a vendor is split in a family of related contributions. The reason is that companies prefer to have parts of a concept accepted in a meeting, rather than seeing everything rejected because of a single contentious aspect.

I hope this information will be of interest to some of you. My experience is that few people are able to efficiently exploit the mine of information accessible from 3GPP. It takes some practice time, but once you got used to it you are a 3GPP master.

The situation is different for OMA. First you need to be a member company to access most of the material. Then, it might the fact that I was formatted by 3GPP, I find the OMA web page very messy and I usually have a hard time finding what I want on it.

Christophe


—-13 04 2008 —–

Written by corlin

十月 12th, 2009 at 8:51 上午

长尾时代,没有纯粹的蓝海

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最近一段时间,在琢磨一个商业计划。恰合前几天刚刚正事开业的卖否网。maifou ;

回想起一年前的社区中国网chinasq,也很契合我正在完善的社区为基础的SNS服务。。

这两次和国内网站的创意契合,感觉自己确实有点慢半拍的。用专业的术语说,没有很好的抓住蓝海

但,长尾时代,没有纯粹的蓝海。。也可以说,蓝海知识诸多不确定因素中的一个。。

先画张图。。脑子里还没理清。。)

7 11 2007 —-


Written by corlin

十月 12th, 2009 at 8:49 上午

你可以实时监控世界每个角落

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全球眼 网络监控 实时远程监控 实时图像监控 IP监控 网络摄像机

Google 输入一下地址。。。。。

  • inurl:”ViewerFrame?Mode=
  • intitle:Axis 2400 video server
  • inurl:/view.shtml
  • intitle:”Live View / – AXIS” | inurl:view/view.shtml^
  • inurl:ViewerFrame?Mode=
  • inurl:ViewerFrame?Mode=Refresh
  • inurl:axis-cgi/jpg
  • inurl:axis-cgi/mjpg (motion-JPEG)
  • inurl:view/indexFrame.shtml
  • inurl:view/index.shtml
  • inurl:view/view.shtml
  • liveapplet
  • intitle:”live view” intitle:axis
  • intitle:liveapplet
  • allintitle:”Network Camera NetworkCamera”
  • intitle:axis intitle:”video server”
  • intitle:liveapplet inurl:LvAppl
  • intitle:”EvoCam” inurl:”webcam.html”
  • intitle:”Live NetSnap Cam-Server feed”
  • intitle:”Live View / – AXIS”
  • intitle:”Live View / – AXIS 206M”
  • intitle:”Live View / – AXIS 206W”
  • intitle:”Live View / – AXIS 210″
  • inurl:indexFrame.shtml Axis
  • inurl:”MultiCameraFrame?Mode=Motion”
  • intitle:start inurl:cgistart
  • intitle:”WJ-NT104 Main Page”
  • intext:”MOBOTIX M1″ intext:”Open Menu”
  • intext:”MOBOTIX M10″ intext:”Open Menu”
  • intext:”MOBOTIX D10″ intext:”Open Menu”
  • intitle:snc-z20 inurl:home/
  • intitle:snc-cs3 inurl:home/
  • intitle:snc-rz30 inurl:home/
  • intitle:”sony network camera snc-p1″
  • intitle:”sony network camera snc-m1″
  • site:.viewnetcam.com -www.viewnetcam.com
  • intitle:”Toshiba Network Camera” user login
  • intitle:”netcam live image”
  • intitle:”i-Catcher Console – Web Monitor”

—-26 02 2008 —-

Written by corlin

十月 12th, 2009 at 8:47 上午

TM Forum Excellence Awards 2007 (电信管理论坛 2007 卓越奖 )

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2008年2月13日的消息,我今天才看到,足证我好长时间不务正业了:)

TM Forum Excellence Awards 2007 (电信管理论坛 2007 卓越奖 )

以下是获奖名单


  • Best New OSS ProductArantech 最佳新运营支撑系统
  • Best Practices Award Service Provider – Korea Telecom (KT) 服务提供商最佳实践奖
  • Best Practices Award – Supplier or SI – Progress Software 系统集成和供应商最佳实践奖
  • Most Innovative Supplier – Highdeal 最具创新供应商奖
  • Prosspero TMF Standards Adoption, Service Provider – BT 最佳规范采用服务提供商
  • Prosspero TMF Standards Adoption, Supplier – HP 最佳规范采用供应商
  • Best Trade Show Marketing Campaign - Nakina Systems 最佳营销战役
  • Best Catalyst Project - Product and Service Assembly (Phase 2) Project 最佳催化剂项目


—-10 03 2008

Written by corlin

十月 12th, 2009 at 8:45 上午

几点,转

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关于钱

不用VC

从第一天开始做财务

盈亏平衡在任何时候都是重要的

关于商业

只做上升期的行业

关注中线增长率

不劳动有回报的是生意。不劳动有增长的是好生意。劳动仅仅是加快增长

有长期观念,用逻辑和分析指导行动

关于人

人一定要少,不盲目扩张

长期做事,要过好日子

原始地址:http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/wangjianshuo/~3/9200543/20060804_aecc.htm


Posted on 8月 31st, 2006

Written by corlin

十月 12th, 2009 at 8:44 上午

中国哪些企业在实施Siebel?

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Telco 新疆电信 Oracle|Siebel 1. Oracle|Siebel;2. Accenture;3. 天富
Telco 浙江电信 Oracle|Siebel 1.Oracle|Siebel 2.Accenture 3.浙江鸿程
Telco 上海电信 Oracle|Siebel IBM和理想信息
Telco 北京电信 Oracle|Siebel Accenture
Telco 北京移动 Oracle|Siebel 亚信和德勤
烟草 浙江烟草 Oracle|Siebel 1.Oracle|Siebel 2.凯捷 3.浙江创联
北京NOKIA Accenture
上海欧莱雅 Oracle|Siebel
北京MOTOROLA IBM
上海PICC HP
….


Posted on 9月 15th, 2006

Written by corlin

十月 12th, 2009 at 8:43 上午

接上篇

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接Next影片里面 凯奇 的结尾:

关于未来就是这么一回事 ,每次你看到了它,它就会改变,因为你看到了它 ,正因为如此,其它的事情也都发生了变化。

所谓战略:不仅仅是预算,怎么分配未来五年的收入和支出,公司结构,制度,人员储备。而是如理查德·鲁梅特所说:要以掠食姿态,专注于扑捉变化

而创新:正是捕获变化的有效方式。

———–

附送一个我最近浏览的I-Mode的发展战略(已经是最近几年电信业战略和营销的经典案例),NTT DoCoMo很好的抓住了变化,并掌控了变化。更比如最近一年的IPhone,和Google正要推出的GPhone。

国内的人大多爱模仿,模仿eBay,模范Flickr,模仿Amazon,模仿Facebook,模仿Youtube,模仿Secondlife。

而,机遇就在眼前,机遇藏于变化,掌控变化,实施有效战略,夺取蓝海,比走前人的老路,应该更有价值。

下一个变化在哪里?下一个大蛋糕在哪里啊?你能牢牢抓住她吗?

—-4 11 2007 —-

Written by corlin

十月 12th, 2009 at 8:41 上午

电信琐事

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好久没关系电信相关的项目信息了,最近和老同事聊天,发现变化真是不小。

  1. 网通集团和北京公司准备做流程再造了,笼统的叫ERP,我感觉类似电信当年的PR,计划用Oracle的套件(Siebel+Oracle Suite+其他,不如comptel);大概包括财务,物流,客服等。电讯盈科Solution得到单子,暂时知道外包Siebel给了浙江的鸿程公司
  2. 新疆电信的收尾工作终于有了一个定数,亚信很艰难的拿下了后续的维护工作,挤掉了原先的总集成商埃森哲,天富公司的大部分做Siebel的人员收编到了亚信旗下,但老动关系还是很乱,天富欠员工3到5月不等的工资和补助,亚信又不得以将这些Siebel方面的专家收编,继续扩大自己的套装软件队伍,虽然我感觉这些职员大部分只懂Siebel,根本不懂电信,不懂计费,留下的业务专家更是没有,而且主要是后续维护,亚信的赚头不大,也许他只想抢市场吧,毕竟Siebel在电信的单子现在就活着这几家了。

谈谈感想

  1. 运营商方面,网通做PR,做流程,缺的东西还是比较多的;首先,系统还是老97系统,三级系统基本孤立运行,业务模型还是停留在97模型基础上,基于产品来做流程,绝大多数支撑系统没有迁移到客户为中心的思想上。基于此来谈流程再造,谈快速支撑业务变化,特别是多领域多平台产品组合,组合营销,组合计费,我看很难。而且ERP和计费融合(北京,河北,辽宁。。)项目并行实施,没有很好的项目间协调和整合,及对整个集团愿景的很好把握,我看最后还是建立一个个孤岛。投入更多,浪费更多,产出更少。想比较来说,电信从02年就开始CTG-BOSS及ITSP等规划流程及模型的建立,到现在,电信的系统,特别是主要省市,如浙江,上海,广东等。到目前已基本建立了一个很好的以客户为中心,融合不同产品(无线,数字,语音..)的平台,他们接下来再继续做PR,要比网通好做的多,投入产出也好的多。最近听闻联通计划出售C网给电信,网通的处境更是难说,单单靠政策支持,建立TD网络,支撑软件和流程无法跟上,以后必将举步维艰。
  2. 厂商方面,这几年的国内电信服务和软件提供上的日子真不好过,大头来说,斯特奇在连续半年成本无法控制,不能按时发放工资的情况下,被神码收编,而之后大量核心业务技术专家离职。直接导致03年以来,神码斯特奇业绩难有起色。埃森哲方面,从拿下新疆,浙江项目以来,大量的资金和人力的投入;到现在,浙江项目勉强收尾,预算严重超支;新疆项目由于人为原因(人员敬业程度,COTS软件高成本,低水平的二级分包商),最终在部分模块没有最终验收的基础上,被甲方勒令退出。直接导致电信用户,特别是高端用户对埃森哲的基于COTS软件建立电信支撑系统的思想产生不信任和抵触心理。二流电信集成商,如杭州鸿程,联想中望,天富,大唐;人力更是不足,主要是短缺核心业务技术专家,人员由于薪酬体系,加班,出差等原因,敬业程度很差。而这些二流厂商,由于领导者,包括管理者,没有很好传达产品愿景,项目愿景,包括质量要求,导致人员只懂编码,不会思考;更无从谈起多个系统间,项目间业务技术的很好融合。领导力没有很好下放,项目Leader没有发挥很好的模范带头作用,激励不到位(项目经理不管或不能赏罚,项目没有及时考核和自我监控,工作没有计划)。技术和业务知识断层严重,大部分人员对计费模型,系统融合思想知识不了解,人员缺乏基本的业务,技术培训,没有传帮带,业务和分析人员和开发人员编程人员,知识差距严重,特别是开发编程人员普遍能力低下,大部分是应届毕业生,不懂基本的软件生产流程、规范及技能。最重要一点,大部分厂商还是靠人海战术,不激励人才,培养敬业能力,不发展公司核心能力,核心知识体系和流程,只能慢慢沦为大集成商和电信运营商的跟屁虫,从勉强分一杯羹到最后惨淡消亡。
  3. 再表扬一下,佩服亚信科技,虽然自己在里面只干了短短1年不到。AI有自己稳定的研发部门,而且每年的投入都不会少,虽然小打小闹,不比国外 COTS厂商,但基于项目产品化,产品集成化,其产品线和产品稳定可靠和可扩展性都在进步。AI项目基本为PM负责制,PM掌控一部分项目资金,可以很好的激励团队,提高敬业指数。团队和事业部的人可以主动调换,保证了研发团队能补充新鲜的项目经验,各项目间也可以互补知识,校验产品。在以上制度下,亚信的资深专家留下的不少,更不乏有十数年经验的老专家,知识沉淀很丰富,能较好适应和预见行业新的机遇和发展。虽说亚信有很好的行业人脉,但基于上述优势,其发展很是稳步,特别是最近,接连拿下海外,新疆,浙江,河南等集成大单,更稳步向咨询型公司迈进。
  4. 庆幸一下,我虽然从电信业出来了,现在不用加班,不用出差,不用夜夜泡咖啡解乏。但很感谢在电信业从业的这段时间,感谢这么多电信项目及项目中结识的朋友。这段经历,是一份宝贵的财富。何时能再上沙场一搏啊!!!


——8 10 2007 ——


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Written by corlin

十月 12th, 2009 at 8:40 上午